ECB Interest Rates: October 2026MarketAIWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?95%--YesNoWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?7%--YesNo$94KVol.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?MarketAIWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?96%--YesNoWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?6%--YesNoWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?4%--YesNo+5 more outcomes$12.2MVol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?MarketAIStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?16%--YesNo$47KVol.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?MarketAIBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?16%--YesNoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?7%--YesNo$4.4MVol.