OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?MarketAIOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?18%--YesNo$2.2MVol.
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapMarketAIWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?4%--YesNoWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?95%--YesNo$102KVol.
Largest Company end of December 2026?MarketAIWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?85%--YesNoWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?16%--YesNoWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?3%--YesNo$8.8MVol.
IPOs before 2027?MarketAIDiscord IPO before 2027?7%--YesNoOpenAI IPO before 2027?5%--YesNoRemote IPO before 2027?4%--YesNo+3 more outcomes$7.4MVol.
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?MarketAIWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?25%--YesNoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?48%--YesNoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?78%--YesNo+4 more outcomes$9.4MVol.