Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?MarketAIStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?17%--YesNo$53KVol.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026MarketAIWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?92%--YesNoWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?5%--YesNo$104KVol.
Largest Company end of December 2026?MarketAIWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?85%--YesNoWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?17%--YesNoWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?4%--YesNo$8.8MVol.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?MarketAIWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?96%--YesNoWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?3%--YesNoWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?3%--YesNo+5 more outcomes$12.2MVol.